Friday, 30 January 2015

Missed it by that much. Picks 1/30

I'm on a losing skid. I don't care for it.


Missed it by that much

Results 1/29 

Milwaukee (-4.0) over Orlando. Odds: 1.86. Milwaukee is playing decently and Orlando is really sketchy in the betting world. I guess I'm just going with consistency?
Bucks won by 15. Won $186.
The Bucks were up by 15 at halftime and 25 after three. I felt pretty good about it.

New York (+8.0) over Indiana. The dreaded back to back with travel. But it's not so much "I believe in the Knicks" as a "I don't trust the Pacers".
Pacers won by 21. Lost $100.
Getting outscored by 23 points in a single quarter (3rd) will do that.

Memphis (-10.5) over Denver. Oh no! The Nuggets. On a traveling back to back. Against the Grizzlies. Who also screw me. I don't care for this game.
Grizzlies won by 30. Won $190.
This was a blowout, you might say.

Chicago (-8.5) over Los Angeles Lakers. Chicago is playing better and the Lakers still kind of stink. Non-game note: I don't like having to type out which Los Angeles team I'm talking about. nitpicks.
Lakers won by 5 (2OT). Lost $100.
At halftime, this was not looking good. The Lakers were up by 11 and the Bulls' offense wasn't enough to win by 9 after that. Then they went to overtime and I thought "it's possible to outscore opponents by 9 in overtime". Then they went to another overtime. Then the Bulls' lost. So sad.

Results: Bets: $400.  Winnings: $376.  NET: -$24
January Total: +$891

So that's a third straight day in the negatives. On the plus side, it seems like I'm trending up. So sad.

Nine games tonight, which means that the only way that I finish in the negatives is if I go ofer tonight. Unlikely, but I don't want to jinx it.

The Games 1/30 Odds are 1.90 unless otherwise noted.

Philadelphia (+4.5) over Minnesota.  Wait. I can bet against the Timberwolves AND  have them win? I say yes please.

Houston (-6.0) over Boston. Odds: 1.86. Boston's not that good. Houston is. I'll take the points on the road.

Atlanta (-7.5) over Portland. Odds: 1.95. Such a trap. Such a trap. But I have a "don't bet against the Hawks" strategy right now.

Cleveland (-7.5) over Sacramento. Large points, but the Kings are struggling.

Brooklyn (+7.0) over Toronto. I was feeling uncomfortable taking so many large favorites. Toronto has been weirdly weak recently. Maybe Brooklyn has a breakout game today.

Miami (+8.5) over Dallas. I think the spread is too large for these two teams. Neither have been particularly stellar recently, but I think 8.5 is too much.

New Orleans (+6.0) over LA Clippers. I think I'll just shorten the abbreviation to LA. That and I've taken three underdogs in a row. That's what's important. Also that I think New Orleans has been playing better recently and I look for that to continue at home.

Golden State (-10.0) over Utah. The Warriors lost recently but I think they get back to dominating against a weak Utah squad.

Phoenix (-6.5) over Chicago. I'm taking energy in this game. Chicago just played a double overtime game in Los Angeles and Phoenix loves to run. I like the Suns for sure.

Finish strong!

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