Day of the "let's put more than words on the blog" experiment. I think I'll get more comfortable and natural with it.
Launching in 3...2...1...
Results 1/27
Toronto (-3.0) over Indiana. The Raptors need to win. Indiana is not that good and the Raptors are...? They certainly haven't been playing well but they are also certainly better than they've been playing.
Raptors won by 13. Won $190.
A good win on the road by a struggling Raptors team. Hopefully this means they can start to pick it up a bit.
Cleveland (-8.0) over Detroit. Sad sad sad sad sad for Detroit. They lost Brandon Jennings for the year with a knee injury and he had been playing REALLY well on their hot streak. Cleveland has also been hot recently and they are a much better team from a personnel standpoint.
Cavaliers won by 8 (PUSH). Won $100
At least it's not a loss. The Cavs weren't enough better than the Pistons. I think Detroit will be fine, if not good, the rest of the way.
Milwaukee (+2.0) over Miami. Going all road teams thus far. This pick hinges on whether or not Wade plays. I feel like this matchup works in Milwaukee's favor, but the Heat are weird in that they can play like world beaters one night and lay a stinker the next. We'll have to see.
Bucks won by 7. Won $190.
The Bucks are good. I look like a genius talking about matchups. The Heat are also good, but didn't have it. Wade played, but didn't play much.
Dallas (-6.0) over Memphis. Memphis played last night and traveled and disappointed me by not destroying Orlando by as much as I thought they should. Dallas is good but somewhat weak inside. A decent matchup for Memphis but I think rest and shooting are the difference.
Grizzlies won by 19. Lost $100.
Really annoyed by this one. I pick the Grizzlies a lot and they can't get it done and here they are dominating when I don't pick them. The Mavericks only shot 26.9% from 3, and that will hurt any team.
Golden State (-11.0) over Chicago. Chicago could go either way, but my policy (so far) is to always take the Warriors and I don't see why that should change now.
Bulls won by 2. Lost $100.
Overtime game. I'm surprised the Bulls won in a shootout. Typically a defensive team, I did not expect them to score this much, overtime or not. Everything was about the same shooting-wise except for the free throws. The Bulls went 21/23 (91.3%) from the charity stripe while the Warriors went 6/12 (50.0%). That +15 for the Bulls made all the difference. Derrick Rose with the Line of the Night, 30 points on 13/33 shooting (39.4% shooting), 1 assist to 11 turnovers. 11 turnovers. 1 assists. But a win's a win.
Ruined my method though
Washington (-8.0) over Los Angeles Lakers. Wizards are just a better team than the Lakers and that should translate all the way across the country.
Wizards won by 6. Lost $100.
Another close loss. No luck last night.
Totals: Bets: $600. Winnings: $480. NET: -$120
January Total: +$1255
Two negative nights in a row. Gotta hope that stops. Just three days of picks left in January.
Big night tonight, eleven games on the table.
The Games 1/28 Odds are 1.90 unless otherwise noted.
Detroit (-7.0) over Philadelphia. I like the Pistons to keep playing well. I don't like the back-to-back while traveling but I like Philly even less.
Cleveland (-5.5) over Portland. Despite the back-to-back, I'm going to keep picking Cleveland for the time being.
Toronto (-7.0) over Sacramento. The Kings are not playing well and haven't been since their coach got fired (coaching makes a difference).
Atlanta (-13.5) over Brooklyn. Taking the Hawks, keep taking the Hawks. Also, Brooklyn is really not that good.
Minnesota (+4.5) over Boston. I generally prefer the strategy where I don't pick my team so that when they get crushed, I can say "at least I won the bet". I'm going all in today. I think they can beat the Celtics, who might be even talent-wise but have better coaching. Much crazier things have happened.
Houston (-4.0) over Dallas. I could see Dallas coming out with a bit of fire tonight after performing poorly last night. But home court, better roster (not by much), and rest see Houston taking it.
New Orleans (-6.5) over Denver. Odds: 1.95. I do not trust his Denver team, not one bit. I think Davis is able to roam a bit on defense since Denver's bigs are not that intimidating offensively.
Oklahoma City (-9.0) over New York. This is a talent thing. If Durant plays, they win by 25. If he doesn't play, they win by 15.
Charlotte (+13.0) over San Antonio. It's the spread. Charlotte can be decent and keep it close, though I don't see them winning.
Los Angeles Clippers (-7.0) over Utah. I think the Clippers are starting to find their groove.
Washington (+6.0) over Phoenix. Both are good. Washington played last night. That spread is not small. I dunno
Cheers
No comments:
Post a Comment